Series 65 Economic Concepts Practice Questions

  1. Question 1

    The federal government finances a large spending increase by issuing substantially more Treasury debt. The added borrowing demand pushes market interest rates higher, and businesses scale back planned capital investment. This effect is known as:

    • A. a liquidity trap
    • B. crowding out
    • C. stagflation
    • D. the Fisher effect
    Show answer and explanation

    Correct answer: B. crowding out

    Crowding out occurs when government borrowing raises interest rates and reduces private-sector investment that would otherwise have occurred. It is a recognized limit on the effectiveness of deficit-financed fiscal stimulus.

    • A. A liquidity trap is a condition in which lower interest rates fail to stimulate borrowing or spending; it does not describe government borrowing raising rates.
    • B. Correct: government borrowing raising rates and displacing private investment is crowding out.
    • C. Stagflation combines high inflation, weak growth, and high unemployment, not deficit-driven interest rate increases.
    • D. The Fisher effect links nominal interest rates to expected inflation, not to government borrowing and investment.
  2. Question 2

    Congress passes legislation reducing the corporate tax rate in order to stimulate business investment. This action is an example of:

    • A. Expansionary monetary policy
    • B. Contractionary fiscal policy
    • C. Expansionary fiscal policy
    • D. Quantitative easing
    Show answer and explanation

    Correct answer: C. Expansionary fiscal policy

    Tax and government spending decisions are fiscal policy, enacted by the legislature/executive branch, not the central bank. Cutting taxes to stimulate the economy is expansionary fiscal policy; monetary policy and quantitative easing are central-bank tools involving interest rates and the money supply.

    • A. Monetary policy is conducted by the Federal Reserve through money supply and interest rate tools, not by Congress passing tax legislation, so this label doesn't fit.
    • B. Contractionary fiscal policy would raise taxes or cut spending to slow the economy — this is the opposite of what's described.
    • C. Fiscal policy is tax and spending action by the legislature; cutting taxes to spur investment and growth is the textbook expansionary fiscal move.
    • D. Quantitative easing is a central-bank tool involving large-scale asset purchases, not a congressional tax law change.
  3. Question 3

    If the Federal Reserve takes action to increase the money supply, what is the expected effect on interest rates and prices?

    • A. Higher interest rates and lower inflation
    • B. Lower interest rates and, over time, upward pressure on prices
    • C. No change in interest rates or prices
    • D. Immediate deflation across the economy
    Show answer and explanation

    Correct answer: B. Lower interest rates and, over time, upward pressure on prices

    An increase in the money supply increases the availability of loanable funds, which tends to push interest rates down in the short run. Over time, more money circulating relative to the same level of goods and services tends to raise the general price level (inflation), consistent with the quantity theory of money.

    • A. Increasing the money supply is expansionary and generally pushes interest rates down, along with upward (not lower) inflationary pressure over time.
    • B. Correct. An increase in the money supply typically lowers interest rates in the near term and creates upward pressure on prices (inflation) over time as more money chases the same goods and services.
    • C. An increase in the money supply is expected to have real effects on rates and prices, not leave them unchanged.
    • D. Increasing the money supply is inflationary over time, the opposite of causing immediate deflation.
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  5. Question 4

    Two-year Treasury yields are 4.5% while ten-year yields are 3.8%. An investor says, "The inverted curve guarantees a recession next quarter." Which response is most accurate?

    • A. Inversion can signal expectations of lower future short rates and economic weakness, but as a signal it does not fix the timing or certainty of recession in the next quarter.
    • B. Inversion shows that inflation will accelerate over the next year, because investors sell longer-dated Treasuries when they expect faster consumer price growth.
    • C. An inverted curve means longer-duration bonds carry less price risk than short-term bonds, so they can be treated as free of interest-rate risk.
    • D. The shape of the yield curve reflects mechanical supply factors and carries little information about market expectations for future short rates or growth.
    Show answer and explanation

    Correct answer: A. Inversion can signal expectations of lower future short rates and economic weakness, but as a signal it does not fix the timing or certainty of recession in the next quarter.

    An inverted curve can reflect expectations of lower future policy rates and has been associated with economic slowdowns, but it is a signal rather than a deterministic forecast of recession or its timing.

    • A. Correct: inversion carries information about expected rates and growth without establishing certainty or timing of a recession.
    • B. Inversion is more often linked to expected rate cuts and slower growth than to accelerating inflation, and it proves nothing about inflation.
    • C. Longer-duration bonds have more interest-rate price risk, not less, and inversion does not remove that risk.
    • D. Yield-curve shapes do reflect market expectations about future short rates and growth, so saying they carry little information is wrong.

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